LJ Idol Unofficial - Scapegoat
Feb. 25th, 2009 11:41 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)

It seemed like a good idea at the time. To most Americans anyway. It was March, 2003, and 64% of Americans supported the idea of invading the state of Iraq. The case made to justify the invasion to the community of nations assembled at the UN was almost entirely Iraqi failed compliance with UN weapons inspections, but as far as the American public was concerned, Iraq "probably" had something to do with September 11th 2001. Anyway, it seemed like a good idea at the time.
It, of course, had nothing to do with September 11th, and everything.
Saddam Hussein's part in it actually makes the most sense. He was a psychotic dictator, but he fell victim to the achilles heel of all psychotic dictators: you must stay in power at all costs. No state is a fairy-tale kingdom where no one questions the rule of the leader, and when you're a psychotic dictator, more than ever, you've got to keep people thinking you're totally on top of things. As such, and its come out since that this was his intentional strategy, Saddam purposely kept everyone thinking he had weapons of mass destruction and was in a powerful enough position to give the UN the bird. If he didn't, he may have been ousted by his own generals, and when "reign of terror" is your form of government you'll do anything not to be the ousted guy. All the civilized world's "shock and awe" is preferable to being the ousted guy.

As for Bush's motivation, things are a little less clear. I never for a second bought that he actually thought Iraq posed a threat to us. I also have never bought the "we're doing it for oil!" explanation -- it's not like we ever stood to get oil for free from the place. The most cynical explanation I'll entertain is that it's a strategic location for us to have a military presense. In particular it means we surround Iran, who DOES scare us.
A second explanation I actually give some weight to is pure psychological issues. Father issues even. Bush's father didn't finish the job, and in fact Saddam tried to have Bush Sr assassinated. Now Bush Jr had the opportunity and was out for blood.
But this is a democracy, and really, it comes down to The People. And THE PEOPLE wanted blood. It was becoming alarmingly apparent that we weren't about to find which hole Osama was hiding in, and The People wanted blood. No one even had to say there was a connection between 9/11 and Iraq for Joe redneck and 64% of the rest of Americans to be certain of it. Frankly, Bush probably would have lost the election in 2004 if hadn't kept The People satisfied he was kicking the shit out of someone to satisfy their need for blood. It seemed like a good idea at the time.
Six years later, it doesn't seem like such a good idea anymore. Turns out "WE WERE TRICKED" into believing Saddam's socialist secular regime had teamed up with radical arch-conservatives who wanted to blow us up for being too secular. Turns out the Weapons of Mass Destruction everyone was so eager to believe were "probably" there in fact probably weren't and furthermore with the brilliance of hindsight we're now certain we shouldn't have ever thought they might be there. It now seems like a terrible idea.
And in fact, never mind that most Americans supported the war, never mind that the Congress authorized it. Never mind that Hillary Clinton was for it before she was against it -- she voted to authorize it when it was popular in 2003, now its clearly all someone else's fault and in 2008 she had better be seen kicking the shit out of someone to satisfy the need for blood. And now, that someone is George W Bush.
...at least life as an ousted leader is better in the United States, and he didn't have to resort to playing chicken with the UN to stay in power (instead he played rooster to the UN's hen just for fun).

no subject
Date: 2009-02-26 08:40 am (UTC)The reasons for the invasion and occupation are only obvious when you look at the profits of exclusive logistics, and other private contractors, supporting operations in Iraq.
I do not understand the irrational fear of Iran. Given that the country has more political stability than India, Pakistan and North Korea which are all countries with or developing short range nuclear weapons and are actively involved in questionable activities.
no subject
Date: 2009-02-26 11:41 am (UTC)Oh, and Wolfowitz was all about the oil. Get your hands on a copy of the 2000 Wolfowitz Report which he produced for the "Project for a New American Century" group (but the 2001 edit, which he used the WTC attack as a good excuse) :)
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Date: 2009-02-27 04:26 pm (UTC)On the plus side, we DID find chemical and biological weapons stockpiles there, for I have pics taken. They did manage to dispose of a vast amount of them prior to the invasion.
no subject
Date: 2009-02-28 09:51 pm (UTC)However, I would add that I think that if we had planted weapons somewhere and let a news crew report their discovery, then Iraq wouldn't be an issue at all today. Just like police planting a gun on a criminal in a Hollywood crime drama.
IMHO, Bush went from providing a scapegoat to becoming a scapegoat. And, I bet he never saw it coming.
Theno
no subject
Date: 2009-02-28 10:01 pm (UTC)Are you saying they SHOULD have planted weapons?
I also think its a logical fallacy to say "we never found them therefore we should never have gone in." IF you believe that was justification to go in, its the fact that we thought they MIGHT have been there that going in was related to. Ie it supposes the US's actions were wrong based on knowledge they wouldn't have known was wrong at the time.
no subject
Date: 2009-03-01 01:31 am (UTC)Ethically, it would have been wrong. Politically, it would have served the purpose of giving the People a victory of both identifying and getting a "boogeyman" who could be blamed, rather guilty or not. Public opinion and confidence would be higher, but otherwise the outcome would be the same.
Because, in general, the American public care more about image than ethics. The rest of the world might have been upset about it. But, they are upset as things are, and (honestly) the voters have never really cared about America's global image.
Theno
no subject
Date: 2009-03-01 08:34 am (UTC)