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04/11 2971 active cases in Australia, 89 new cases in last 24 hours
04/12 2916 active cases in Australia, 21 new cases in last 24 hours (which looks amazingly low but keep in mind it's easter weekend so there may well be less reporting or tallying.
   But Australia is clearly continuing to wind down the downward side of the slope!

   I've chosen to look for a decreasing number of active cases to get excited, and Australia and some other places deliver on that already. Most other places don't but if you look at a decreasing number of cases reported per day, which I think the media is focusing on in their analysis, both the US and the World appear to be plateauing in terms of new cases per day!



and apparently I cut off the label but this is the whole world:



   But of course the virus would have to be literally completely stamped out in a place before they could lift the quarantines and go back to life as normal, or else the curve will just start up all over again. The ideas about issuing "coronavirus passports" to people who have recovered and are immune and can therefore go to work is intriguing. It sounds a bit creepy/dystopian but I mean, you already have to show proof of Yellow Fever vaccination to enter many countries. I think it is possible some places will succeed in stamping it out entirely in a few weeks, though larger places like the US I fear it could take months if it ever comes to pass at all, and the greater hope will be for a vaccination.


   I wonder what's happening in North Korea. To my knowledge they haven't reported any cases, not that anyone would believe for a second anything they say, but they are so thoroughly autocratic I could see it going either way ... either a draconian lock-in or Kim Jong Un just looking at hte numbers and saying ah yeah I can afford to lose 2% of my population lets just sweep all these bodies under the rug and the rest of you keep on keeping on!

Date: 2020-04-12 07:37 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] livejournal.livejournal.com
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Date: 2020-04-12 08:15 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] daphnep.livejournal.com
It’s a huge assumption that people who’ve had it and recovered are now immune.
It’s simply not known to be true, yet.

People assume it’s like chicken pox, but it’s just as likely that it’s like a cold (also a corona virus) or like herpes, a virus that once you have it, you just have it your whole life and manage the flair-ups.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/recovered-coronavirus-patients-test-positive-161747102.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=fb

Date: 2020-04-13 08:41 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] crazy-mich.livejournal.com
Australia and New Zealand have done so well getting their cases under control! Meanwhile in Canada not so much as of yet. I keep telling myself I am glad not to live in America at least, for more than one reason, haha.

Date: 2020-04-14 03:01 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] rromantic.livejournal.com

I thoroughly enjoyed this analysis! Might be that I'm a bit biased because it pretty much agrees with my own take on things. Lol

I don't comment that often these days because I can only sneak-check LJ on my phone: the moment my laptop comes out I have to fight my two Maine Coon kids for it and that vigorous battle is reserved for when I have to win because of working from home.

But I do always read your posts and follow your life with great interest!

Date: 2020-04-18 01:39 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] picosgemeos.livejournal.com
Just saw on the news that North Korea now has a "few cases" - which probably means "a lot of new cases". As for the US, I fear what's going to happen there now that the nutters are all protesting the lockdown!

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