aggienaut: (Numbat)

   Yikes, it's been a month since I posted here. I blame the worsening perception that no one is actually ON LJ anymore. Frankly when I tried to restart [livejournal.com profile] ljshootout and got ONE submission I think it sent me into a spiral of lost hope in LJ.

   But its not too late to join the current season of [livejournal.com profile] ljshootout and thus restore hope in LJ! I had set the deadline "one week or when we get seven submissions" .... so its still open!


   Anyway, I thought I'd return here with an entry-length status I had shared on FB, which has been reposted by others so apparently its of interest.




   There's an article that I've seen a bunch of people post and three different people posted to my wall in 24 hours asking me for my opinion of it: "Scientists Discover What's Killing the Bees and It's Worse Than You Thought." (Spoiler alert: Scientists have not discovered what's killing the bees, and its not worse than you thought)

   First of all, let's cut out the middle-man, the QZ writer, and his typcial alarmist "certain doom!" predictions which have nothing to do with the article he's reporting on. His source is this article from PLoS ONE which came out yesterday.

   The PLoS article is made out of solid research, and I know two of the authors. (Pro-tip: you can just skip down to the discussion section to get to the meaty bits of it)

   The basic conclusions are things we already know: bees are exposed to a LOT of different pesticides out there, up to 21 in one field. And at levels over the documented median lethal dose in two fields! What's interesting is that the neonicotinoids --which everyone has been shouting about lately-- show up but don't have a remarkable effect other than REDUCING incidence of N. ceranae infection (a major bee disease).

   The study did show that fungicides have a worse effect on bees than previously believed. And I've heard it myself in the field from farmers -- "aw no worries mate this is a fungicide we're spraying it won't effect your bees at all." Fungicides kill off beneficial bacteria bees use for various purposes, and according to this study, also increase gut cell mortality, which is probably the primary reason bees exposed to fungicides in this study were three times more likely to become infected with N. ceranae.

   What is actually fairly shocking to me is the degree to which they showed that bees brought in to pollinate nearly ANY of the "new world" crops (ie those that evolved independently of honeybees) by and large did NOT pollinate those crops. This, frankly, probably has a bigger potential impact on the industry, if all the money being spent paying beekeepers to pollinate those crops is essentially just a waste of money.

In conclusion, if the QZ writer actually fully comprehended the article he'd have realized that what he's written, that "one bad winter could leave fields fallow" actually runs contrary to the research of this article -- since the study shows honey bees actually DON'T POLLINATE most of our crops (though not mentioned in this article, the "big one," corn, is also not insect pollinated) . And it's probably not worse than you thought, because this writer and many others have been doing their best to keep you thinking we're on the edge of a fictional "beepocalypse."

So the PLoS article is great. the QZ article isn't awful but only brings some muddling of the facts and confusion to the table. Any time you read an article written by a journalist about a scientific article which they've cited, I recommend skipping ahead to the discussion section of the scientific article.

aggienaut: (helicopters)
   Sitting in the little eatery where we just had dinner, there was a TV mounted on the wall where I could see it but I couldn't hear it. It was on a news channel. First they interviewed a dozen Iranians who were opposed to sanctions on Iran and in support of Iran's nuclear program. Then it showed Kofi Annan meeting with President Ahmadinejad, then they showed people getting tear gassed with the headline "REVOLUTION IN BAHRAIN," and then there was a lengthy bit titled "UNITED (POLICE) STATES," which appeared to be about the Dept of Homeland Security ordering hollow-point bullets, and alternated between pictures of watermelons exploding from being by such bullets and pictures of occupy protestors being tear gassed. This included intreviews with about four persons who were all either wearing tie-dye occupy movement t-shirts or listed as the editor of some anti-government sounding magazine. Then footage returned to Annan and Ahmadinejad.
   These stories seemed to be... a bit less than unbiased reporting. I think there may have been another story as well that seemed similarly themed. I thought the Bahrain story was particularly amusing since a story about a "revolution" usually shows people joyously waving flags, not being teargassed by government troups. Sure enough a google news search of Bahrain right now and the fifth result down is mob violence in Bahrain. Someone's a bit overeager to make it sound like there's been a revolution there.

   And also, sure enough, looking up "PressTV," the name of the program, I see it is run by the Iranian state media agency. And apparently people watch it over dinner here in some places. At least they didn't burn me in effigy. Though apparently homeland security DID put in a large order for hollow-point ammunition...
aggienaut: (Bees!)

   So last year a few different scouts from documentary producers inquired of us to potentially interview / film with us for their documentaries. That I recall we didn't end up filming with any of them but I think at least one sent someone to come interview us.

   Whenever they do so we're usually very adamant that we do not wish to be involved in anything which misportrays major honeybee or beekeeping issues, and we are very suspicious (have learned to be after many bad experiences) about just about any documentary makers intentions and/or ability not to get things ass-backwards.

   Typically the incorrect information and utter misportrayel is actually in favour of beekeeping, portrays it as more important than it actually is, and garners more interest in beekeeping and honeybees, but as scientifically minded people who are very involved with educating the public about bees, we deeply resent any incorrect information about bees being proliferated, ESPECIALLY from ostensibly informative "documentaries."

   For example, one thing we constantly come across in news items is that "Einstein said that the human race would collapse if all bees disappeared" or some such crap, as if this is an absolute fact because he said it, whereas in fact he almost certainly did not say that. Apparently newspapers don't check their facts anymore.


   Anyway, one of last year's documentaries has finished production, produced a trailer, and will be screening their film in the nearby town of Laguna Beach here tomorrow. Judging by the trailer it looks like they are flogging the "OMG THE BEES ARE DISAPPEARING, ABOUT TO BE EXTINCT, WE'RE ALL GOING TO DIEEEEEEEE" line to the very fullest extent. I've written about this at length on some other occasions, but basically the bottom line is that this is not at all even a little bit the case. There are more managed colonies in the Northwest now than there were before the onset of Colony Collapse Disorder, for example. And to make a large scale documentary as this appears to do and still think the bees are actually endangered requires one to really be putting their fingers in their ears going "LALALALALALALA" and very pointedly ignoring all the experts and only listening to beekeepers that are either really uninformed or just glad to ham it up and say oh yeah this shit is bananas.

   Additionally, all the press for this documentary mentions front and center that "1 out of 3 bites you eat has been pollinated by honeybees." Another utterly incorrect fact that they apparently didn't bother to fact check.
   There is at least an original quote to this effect though. It was by one "S.E. McGregor," a figure with the federal agricultural commission or something, in 1976. He did say "It appears that perhaps one third of our total diet is dependant, directly or indirectly, upon insect-pollinated plants." However, he did not back this up with any research and I don't think he had any idea it would be taken as the word of god for the next thirty years
   I'll quote directly from noted entomologist Keith Delaplane for more quotes pertaining to this, from this excellent article:

...The authors of the FAO analysis concluded that the proportion of global food production attributable to animal pollination ranges from 5% in industrialized nations to 8% in the developing world.
...
One can summarize from this paper that most of the calories that sustain human life derive from non-pollinator-dependent crops. This in no way denigrates the importance of pollination at the local level. One need only imagine the economic fallout of a pollinator crash on the California almond industry or Costa Rican coffee. But is it true, sensu stricto, that human life depends on bee pollination? No.
...
ut there is another mega-trend at work, and that is that global demand for animal-pollinated crops is increasing faster than the demand for non-pollinated staples. The fraction of total production made up of animal-pollinated crops grew from 3.6% in 1961 to 6.1% in 2006, and even these statistics mask a huge jump in the years since 1990[iii]. In other words, more people around Planet Earth want ice cream, blueberry tarts, watermelon, almond chocolate bars, coffee, and yes McDonald’s hamburgers - and the trend shows no sign of slowing. So, to what extent does the quality of human life depend on bee pollination? I would say a lot - if you are fortunate enough to live in an economy where bee-pollinated crops make up a significant fraction of what one considers a “normal” diet.
...
In conclusion, I suggest that what’s at stake here is not something so melodramatic as Einstein’s fictitious and dire warning about the collapse of Homo sapiens. I think bee advocates do their cause a disservice when they stoke the flames of hyperbole and sensationalism. Much better to pose the question as a quality of life issue. To the extent that we value a diverse food supply with minimized trauma to the environments where it is produced, we will place a high value indeed on honey bees and other pollinators.


   Again, if you're interested, I recommend you read the entire article I quoted above.

aggienaut: (Bees)

   So last year a few different scouts from documentary producers inquired of us to potentially interview / film with us for their documentaries. That I recall we didn't end up filming with any of them but I think at least one sent someone to come interview us.

   Whenever they do so we're usually very adament that we do not wish to be involved in anything which misportrays major honeybee or beekeeping issues, and we are very suspicious (have learned to be after many bad experiences) about just about any documentary makers intentions and/or ability not to get things ass-backwards.

   Typically the incorrect information and utter misportrayel is actually in favour of beekeeping, portrays it as more important than it actually is, and garners more interest in beekeeping and honeybees, but as scientifically minded people who are very involved with educating the public about bees, we deeply resent any incorrect information about bees being proliferated, ESPECIALLY from ostensibly informative "documentaries."

   For example, one thing we constantly come across in news items is that "Einstein said that the human race would collapse if all bees disappeared" or some such crap, as if this is an absolute fact because he said it, whereas in fact he almost certainly did not say that. Apparently newspapers don't check their facts anymore.


   Anyway, one of last year's documentaries has finished production, produced a trailer, and will be screening their film in the nearby town of Laguna Beach here tomorrow. Judging by the trailer it looks like they are flogging the "OMG THE BEES ARE DISAPPEARING, ABOUT TO BE EXTINCT, WE'RE ALL GOING TO DIEEEEEEEE" line to the very fullest extent. I've written about this at length on some other occasions, but basically the bottom line is that this is not at all even a little bit the case. There are more managed colonies in the Northwest now than there were before the onset of Colony Collapse Disorder, for example. And to make a large scale documentary as this appears to do and still think the bees are actually endangered requires one to really be putting their fingers in their ears going "LALALALALALALA" and very pointedly ignoring all the experts and only listening to beekeepers that are either really uninformed or just glad to ham it up and say oh yeah this shit is bananas.

   Additionally, all the press for this documentary mentions front and center that "1 out of 3 bites you eat has been pollinated by honeybees." Another utterly incorrect fact that they apparently didn't bother to fact check.
   There is at least an original quote to this effect though. It was by one "S.E. McGregor," a figure with the federal agricultural commission or something, in 1976. He did say "It appears that perhaps one third of our total diet is dependant, directly or indirectly, upon insect-pollinated plants." However, he did not back this up with any research and I don't think he had any idea it would be taken as the word of god for the next thirty years
   I'll quote directly from noted entomologist Keith Delaplane for more quotes pertaining to this, from this excellent article:

...The authors of the FAO analysis concluded that the proportion of global food production attributable to animal pollination ranges from 5% in industrialized nations to 8% in the developing world.
...
One can summarize from this paper that most of the calories that sustain human life derive from non-pollinator-dependent crops. This in no way denigrates the importance of pollination at the local level. One need only imagine the economic fallout of a pollinator crash on the California almond industry or Costa Rican coffee. But is it true, sensu stricto, that human life depends on bee pollination? No.
...
ut there is another mega-trend at work, and that is that global demand for animal-pollinated crops is increasing faster than the demand for non-pollinated staples. The fraction of total production made up of animal-pollinated crops grew from 3.6% in 1961 to 6.1% in 2006, and even these statistics mask a huge jump in the years since 1990[iii]. In other words, more people around Planet Earth want ice cream, blueberry tarts, watermelon, almond chocolate bars, coffee, and yes McDonald’s hamburgers - and the trend shows no sign of slowing. So, to what extent does the quality of human life depend on bee pollination? I would say a lot - if you are fortunate enough to live in an economy where bee-pollinated crops make up a significant fraction of what one considers a “normal” diet.
...
In conclusion, I suggest that what’s at stake here is not something so melodramatic as Einstein’s fictitious and dire warning about the collapse of Homo sapiens. I think bee advocates do their cause a disservice when they stoke the flames of hyperbole and sensationalism. Much better to pose the question as a quality of life issue. To the extent that we value a diverse food supply with minimized trauma to the environments where it is produced, we will place a high value indeed on honey bees and other pollinators.


   Again, if you're interested, I recommend you read the entire article I quoted above.


   In other news we're starting to look into booking next year's speakers for the bee club. One of the other officers wants to book this guy Jeremy Rose who wrote a book on beekeeping in California. I had never heard of him but on looking him up it looks like he's been beekeeping for five years and runs 300 hives. .... I'm pretty sure I have more experience than him, maybe I should write a book and tout myself as an expert too!

aggienaut: (trogdor)

   Someone stole the security camera from the computer lab in our complex! WTF.

Responding to Laughable Charges - Literally
   Also, I'd like to speak some more about my expected fourth impeachment this upcoming Thursday. I would like to issue the following statement: LOL
   I think I'll put that on a press release. The claims are so misplaced that I haven't got an ounce of fear about facing them. I'd bet money that I'm going to come out of this looking better than I went in, and it will have an inverse effect on those who called it. I'd say I'd actually be disappointed if it didn't occur, but it really is a lot of unnecessary drama and someone or other is going to unnecessarily look bad because of it (And as a matter of policy I am still going to exert the maximum pressure to prevent it from happening so don't expect my ambivalence to make it easy for you). I suppose scheduling an examination of the situation under "presentations," would still be acceptable to me and may spare Birdsall some of the shame of being utterly refuted during impeachment.
   But seriously, LOL impeachment. LOL Kristen Birdsall (this is not to be taken to imply any feelings on any matters unrelated to my impeachment; I by no means intend to imply Birdsall is lollable out of this context)


The Duality Bias
   Actually I think my biggest obstacle here is overcoming the media duality bias -- the urge to present both sides of a contention equally even if they're not equally valid. For example, as my media effects professor last quarter explained it, 99% of scientists agree that global warming is a fact and caused by people, but because the media feels they need to present "both sides," of the issue, the 1% of scientists (mostly on the payroll of the Evil industry) who contend global warming doesn't take place are given equal airtime.
   And so, I say to the campus media, considering that she hasn't given any reason to believe the Court ever had a closed meeting on the evening of the 12th, and that there are numerous witnesses that entry to the conference room was never interrupted, that Birdsall in this case is like the argument that global warming isn't taking place. Yes some people make the assertion, but the media would be more professional not to lend imagined credibility to fanciful ideas that fly in the face of overwhelming evidence.


In other news: Saturday night Chris Bunch had another party. I brought my new flatmate Vishal as well as Jason. We ended up staying until nearly 3am, at which point we rushed Jason's sickly ass back home, then raided Jack in the Box for season fries and stuffed jalepenos.

Picture of the Day


From the archives: Just North of the Grapevine. Yeah my camera is still broken. )=


Previously on Emosnail
   Three Years Ago Today:
CoHo Economics - How the Coffee House magnifies the value of your money! (at least if you work there)
   Two Years Ago Today: CoHo Entertainment - Free things abound in the magical land of Cohostan. ALSO a Court Order for SGAO.
   Year Ago Today: Misguided Columnists, Misleading Titles - My letter-to-the-editor in response to Ian Watson is printed ... with a new title that contradicts my messege. Go team! Did the editors even read the letter before titling it? ALSO a picture of the Friends Urging Campus Kindness team --Rob Roy, Paul Amnaypayout & Chad van Schoelandt-- arguing with interim senator (now SGAO staff) Cari "I still worship Vicki Swett" Ham, as Senator Darnell Holloway (now Vice President) looks on.

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